2026 MLB All-Star Game on Tuesday

The city of Philadelphia and Citizens Bank Park are the site of the 2026 Major League Baseball All-Star Game as the American League (AL) All-Stars face the National League (NL) All-Stars on Tuesday night in the 96th edition (FOX, 8 ET/7 CT/5 PT).

And there will be more than just baseball on the agenda at CBP in the City of Brotherly Love, as there will be a celebration honoring the signing of the Declaration of Independence, a document adopted 250 years ago in Philadelphia on July 4, 1776, and signed by most delegates on August 2, 1776.

NL heavyweights LA and Atlanta sent five players each to the ASG, while game host Philadelphia now has six, including the Phillies' Bryce Harper, who was added as a “Legend Pick” to the Senior Circuit’s roster by MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred. Philadelphia has three pitchers on the NL roster.

There will be 26 players making their Midsummer Classic debuts at The Bank, like Cincinnati rookie 1B Sal Stewart, Cleveland Guardians Bazzana and Parker Messick, and talented St Louis 2B JJ Wetherholt (.266/13/66), the trading favorite (64%) for NL Rookie of the Year at Polymarket.

One sensational newcomer who’s been brilliant this first half of the 2026 MLB Regular Season is Brewers RHP Jacob Misiorowski. But reports indicate the fastballer won’t get the pill for an inning, as his Brewers are still trying to win the NL Central and earn a bye in Round 1 of the Playoffs.​

Although they are the reigning AL and NL MVPs and the faces of MLB, the Yankees' Aaron Judge (Ribs) will miss the game, and Ohtani won’t get to show off his pitching skills with the NL’s pitching roster already an embarrassment of riches, even without Shohei, The Miz, or Robert Suárez.​

With the Phillies’ Cristopher Sánchez, Jhoan Duran, and Zack Wheeler, the Reds’ Chase Burns, Dodgers ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto, the Diamondbacks Eduardo Rodríguez, Padres closer Mason Miller, and the Braves Chris Sale, Raisel Iglesias, and Dylan Lee, NL Manager Roberts is cheating?​​

Click here to see the full team Rosters for the 2026 MLB All-Star Game

*Cody Bellinger (NYY) will replace Aaron Judge

>Note: Elected starters don’t mean these are the starting lineups for the All-Star Game

The MLB All-Star Game is usually more pomp and circumstance than good Baseball these days, with scoring at a premium because managers can turn to a new (ace) pitcher every inning and the reality that the game doesn’t matter and nobody wants to get hurt with the second half coming.​

Last year, the NL rallied from a 6-0 deficit to beat the AL, 7-6, in a game at Truist Park in Atlanta that actually required a tiebreaker Home Run swing-off—the first ever to settle an All-Star Game—won by the NL as the Phillies and game MVP Kyle Schwarber cracked three dingers.​

MLB All-Star trends reveal a game where the American League and the Under dominate, although the last two Midsummer Classics have gone Over, with an average of 10.5 RPG. The American League is a dominating 22-5-1 in the last 27 meetings, with the Under 14-5 in the last 19 ASGs.​

But these are numbers and statistics, and everything changes, and blindly backing the Junior Circuit and the Under doesn’t seem like a great idea. Let’s look at four reasons why taking the Senior Circuit and the Over may end up being the wisest trading approach on Tuesday night.​

➤Trading Thoughts: One big reason not to back the AL here is that it will be without its best player and hitter, the Bronx Bombers slugger Judge. Another reason is that this game is being played in an NL ballpark on an ASG roster loaded with boys like Brandon Marsh from the host Phillies.​

The NL roster and starting lineup will also be harder to pitch to, with guys like Kyle Schwarber, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy, and Andy Pages (.269/16/63), who has been a really pleasant surprise for a team that thought Kyle Tucker would help more offensively in Lalaland.

Braves sensations Ozzie Albies and Drake Baldwin will also want to prove their worth, as will teammate Matt Olson (1B), and the worm has turned, it seems, with the NL winning two of the last three ASG. The pitching staff’s also a reason to back the NL, as Roberts can use a stud every inning.​

Sánchez may get the start in the City of Brotherly Love and Spitballs, and then the NL can use Sale, Wheeler, Burns, Yamamoto, Skenes, and Rodríguez before turning to relievers Miller, Iglesias, and Lee. The AL Team Total Under may be worth a look this evening.​

⚽2026 MLB All-Star Game Winner Pick: National League 59¢

Kalshi ran into another internal and public relations nightmare last week when it was reported that the music streaming service Spotify confirmed that there was some strange trading on Kalshi involving the position of a song—"Earrings” by Malcom Todd—on the Spotify top songs charts.​

For weeks, the song sat in the Top 5 in the daily US charts, checking in at #4 on Sunday, June 28. Suddenly, on Monday, June 29, the song rocketed to #1, a one-day increase of around 70%. Is this realistic? No. A wise trader at Kalshi flagged this anomaly, dubbing it an “11.24-sigma event.”

A swing that big just couldn't be from genuine listeners in such a short period of time. And after Spotify looked into it, the company removed 500,000 streams the popular prediction market had determined were generated by bots. For the trader losing $4,500, it was just too much to handle.​

So there are many problems here with the monthly Spotify markets. The integrity of these markets—and Kalshi to a large degree—is suspect. Who wants to trade in a market where nefarious actors may use bots to toy with the numbers to make sure they win (profit) by cheating?​

And Kalshi didn’t complete its investigation into this Spotify mess until after the markets were resolved and traders had been paid out. So the traders messing with the market ended up profiting from inflated and fake numbers they created using data that was eventually deemed inaccurate.​

The guy at the center of this is Caleb Davies (@GaetenD, Twitter), an IT dude from Minneapolis and one of the best and most profitable Culture traders ever at Kalshi. Davies talked to WIRED, and also did a nice story in Dustin Gouker’s Event Horizon newsletter on bots and stream bottling.​

A Kalshi spokesman said they are “in touch with Spotify and actively investigating this matter,” but it seems that whoever bought the fake streams to manipulate the market and profit from what were fake results got off free and made money, while Davies is left wondering: where is the real justice?​

Davies has gotten very frustrated by the loss, and by the feeling that there was no integrity left in the Spotify markets he studied and loved so much, so he said on Twitter that he has liquidated his account. So the company loses a decent human - not a bot - who traded in Culture markets and made the platform look cool.

So Kalshi lost a customer—Gaeten ranks #28 in Volume and #51 in Profit on the year’s Kalshi Culture Leaderboard—has yet another PR nightmare in the building in New York City and will still serve up Spotify markets like 7-Eleven hot dogs on the roller grill like nothing ever happened.​

Integrity must matter. Without it, both prediction markets and their providers, as well as online and brick-and-mortar sportsbooks, lose customers, volume, and street cred. It’s cheating and no different from messing with weather sensors at Charles de Gaulle Airport to profit at Polymarket.

U.S. District Court judge Katherine Menendez heard arguments last Thursday in the ongoing case between prediction markets and the Land of 10,000 Lakes over the state ban on them there, which would make it a felony to offer these exchanges starting on August 1, 2026.​

Menendez heard arguments from the now-famous case—Minnesota would be the first to make it a crime to offer these—brought forth by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi, and Polymarket. Advertising the prediction markets in Minnesota would also be illegal.​

Should Menendez rule against the CFTC and the prediction markets, the companies or individuals hosting these exchanges could face a $10,000 fine and up to five years in prison, but any traders within the state of Minnesota would not face any penalties.​

Prediction markets are federally regulated by Chairman Michael Selig and the CFTC, technically making them legal in all 50 states, but currently, there are 11 states—Including Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, New York, and New Jersey—some of which have issued cease-and-desist orders.​

Menendez said in the hearing she’s aware of the other state cases and of the impact this could have with the coming ruling. “I will not specify a day, and I hope that I will not be the subject of any prediction market contracts between now and when I get there,” Menendez quipped.​

A slew of companies will report earnings this week, including Goldman Sachs (GS), Bank of America (BAC), and Wells Fargo (WFC) on Tuesday, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Morgan Stanley (MS) on Wednesday, and Netflix (NFLX), which will be reporting before the closing bell on Thursday.​

On Wednesday, Cintas (CTAS), PNC (PNC), and Conagra Brands (CAG) will all report before the opening bell, while on Thursday, UnitedHealth Group (UNH), TSMC (TSM), Citizens Financial Group (CFG), and State Street (STT) will reveal earnings before the opening market bells.​

After the Nasdaq closing bell on Thursday, Netflix will report its results for the second quarter of 2026, with traders at Polymarket giving the Los Gatos, California-based media giant an 82% chance of beating quarterly earnings (July 11).​

Analysts on Wall Street have forecast Netflix to report EPS of $0.79 on quarterly revenue of $12.58 billion.​

If you want to see Netflix's Q2 2026 results (ending in March) Earnings Report conference call—a NASDAQ-100 index component—you can access the company’s Netflix Investors website or the Netflix Investor Relations YouTube channel.​

Click here for the Weekly Earnings Predictions Calendar at Polymarket

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge has been the AL Most Valuable Player (MVP) in three of the last four seasons (2022, 2024, 2025), with now NL star Shohei Ohtani winning twice (2021, 2023) when the Japanese import and two-way player played across town for the Los Angeles Angels.​

Judge (.248/5/38)—who will miss Tuesday’s ASG—has been out with a rib injury, and the Bronx Bombers expect to have the big slugger back in the lineup on August 3, with the Yankees really scuffling in June (12-14) and July (4-5) and now looking up at the Rays in the AL East standings.​

With Judge out of the picture, the AL MVP Winner? market at Kalshi is a race of five players: Astros DH slugger Yordan Álvarez (.310/29/67), with 57% of the ‘Yes’ contracts; Royals SS Bobby Witt, Jr. (15%), Rays Junior Caminero (14%), A’s Nick Kurtz (9%), and the Yankees Ben Rice (4%).​

➤Trading Thoughts: Rays 3B Caminero (.277/27/57) doesn’t have the gaudy offensive numbers as Álvarez does, but he isn’t far off, and he plays the field defensively, and his team has the best record in the Junior Circuit (54-37) and went 16-9 in April and 18-8 in May, but always seems to choke.

Athletics’ 1B Kurtz (.266/20/66) has similar numbers to Caminero, but like Witt Jr. (.288/13/39), he plays for a team that probably won’t make the MLB playoffs and in a small market where few people see him, so the mainstream MLB media couldn’t care less about him. So sorry.

That means you do one of three things (if you don’t already hold a position or positions): Sit out and just watch; buy Álvarez ‘Yes’ at 57¢​ (as well as fading Witt with 90¢​ ‘No’ contracts); or gamble that Caminero (6-1, 220) can close strong and hope TB has a great Summer and postseason fall.

⚾MLB 2026 AL MVP Winner Picks: Yordan Álvarez, Yes 59¢​, Bobby Witt, Jr. No 90¢​

Click here to trade on the 2026 AL MVP Winner? at Kalshi

In what very well could be a FIFA World Cup Final matchup, the top-ranked team by FIFA and most-bought team by PM traders, France, faces Spain in the Semi at AT&T Stadium (Hellas Matrix Turf with Helix Soft Top) in Arlington, Texas (FOX, FOX One, Telemundo, 3 EDT/2 CDT/12 PDT).

In the Quarterfinals, France rallied for two second-half goals to eliminate Morocco, 2-0, as stars Kylian Mbappé (60') and Ousmane Dembélé (66') both tallied within a six-minute span in a game that saw the Atlas Lions record only one SOG and create zero big chances in Foxborough, MA.

The following day, Spain (#3 FIFA) eliminated Belgium (2-1), but allowed its first goal in 649 minutes—a new Guinness World Record in the World Cup—as magic man Mikel Merino came in as a late sub and again delivered the game-winner, this one at the 88-minute mark vs the Red Devils.

At Kalshi, Michael Oilse and France were predicted to advance to the Finals by 58% of traders, with Spain receiving 42% of the ‘Yes’ contracts. Over in the 3-way Regulation Time Moneyline market, Les Blues of France were at 41%, La Roja of Spain at 30%, with a Tie at 30%.​

➤Trading Thoughts: This looks like a battle between a very defensive team (Spain) and a very attacking, offensive team (France), but in reality, Spain’s offense is much better than most realize, with Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Pedro Neto, and Merino able to substitute in and make instant magic.

France look like an attacking giant with Golden Boot contender Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Adrien Rabiot, and playmaker Michael Olise, but Les Bleus are also a quality side and are elite defensively, having allowed just 2 goals in this World Cup, something few have even realized.

The handicap here? France has looked good in all games, while it took teenager Yamal and Spain some time to feel confident. These two have a rich history, with Spain (18-7-13) holding the upper hand, but this is the best Les Bleues team ever, and we may see 3 goals with so much at stake.

⚽Tuesday FIFA World Cup Semifinal Picks: France To Advance, Yes 59¢​, France Regulation Time, Yes 42¢​

Click here to trade on the France vs. Spain World Cup Semifinal match at Polymarket

The second 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinal is also a classic, with Lionel Messi and Argentina facing Harry Kane and England at Mercedes-Benz Stadium (FieldTurf CORE) in Atlanta, Georgia on Wednesday (FOX, FOX One, Telemundo, 3 ET/2 CT/12 PT) with the winner making the Final.​

The defending champions defeated Switzerland in the Quarterfinals on Saturday in AET (3-1) as Julián Álvarez (112') and Lautaro Martínez (120'+1') scored in the extra 30 minutes to get here, while the Three Lions eliminated Erling Haaland and Norway as Jude Bellingham delivered again.

Argentina is 6-0-0 in this World Cup, going 3-0-0 in Group Stage play (8 GF-1 GA) and 3-0-0 in the Knockout Stage, eliminating upstart Cape Verde in AET in a classic (3-2) and then rallying from 2-0 down to mummify Mo Salah and Egypt (3-2).

England is 5-1-0 in the World Cup, going 2-1-0 in Group L (4 GF-1 GA) before beating Panama (2-0), DR Congo (2-1), and co-hosts Mexico at Azteca in an instant classic (3-2) before sending Norway—the nation (with Cabo Verde) who won the world’s hearts—home in the KO Stage.

At Kalshi in the To Advance market, the Three Lions were surprisingly seeing the majority of the money on Sunday, with England trading at 55% to Argentina’s 45%. In the Regulation Time, 3-way market, England was at 37%, Argentina at 31%, with a Tie score after 90 minutes at 32%.

➤Trading Thoughts: This will be another match no one forgets, and there will surely be drama and complaining about VAR. In the end, will the defending champions, Argentina, get to the point they thought they would, or will the Three Lions be singing “Wonderwall” to their fans after the match?

Bellingham has been the catalyst for England, and GK Jordan Pickford has also been great of late, but England Head Coach Thomas Tuchel was less than pleased with his squad’s performance in the win vs. the Vikings, saying his team was “lucky” to get by Norway. So let it out and let it in.

Messi is still fighting to be the Golden Boot Winner, but reaching the Final to face the winner of the Spain-France Semifinal is the only thing that will matter for La Albiceleste in Atlanta. Argentina is unbeaten in 2026, going 10-0 and outscoring opponents 29-7, so this is the UEFA versus CONMEBOL matchup networks and soccer fans dreamed of when the tournament opened.

Betting against Messi and GK Emiliano Martínez is a dangerous proposition, so we are sticking with the team we said would get to the Final and face France—Argentina—and expect Álvarez and Lautaro Martínez to lighten Messi’s load and score for the South American defending champions.

⚽Wednesday FIFA World Cup Semifinals Picks: Argentina Advances, Yes 46¢​, Argentina Regulation Time 31¢​, Both Teams To Score, Yes ​52¢

Click here to trade on the Argentina vs. England World Cup Semifinal match at Kalshi

For two to three years, it seemed American golfer Scottie Scheffler was the closest thing we have seen to Tiger Woods in the context of the PGA Tour and rankings and Futures (Outright to win) odds in sportsbooks. Heading into 2026, it seemed Scheffler may extend his golfing legacy.​

The 30-year-old Scheffler headed into 2026 sitting as the top-ranked player in the PGA Tour rankings, a distinction he has now enjoyed for 160 consecutive weeks, since landing at the top spot on May 23, 2023, when Joe Biden was still sitting in the Oval Office and still under 80 years of age.​

Now, the new elderly White man sitting in the Oval Office claiming Biden was way too old to be president—80-year-old Donald J. Trump—loves Golf and will probably soon find some way to boldly proclaim he would have been Scheffler, or better than Scheffler, if Scheffler wasn’t Scheffler.​

Scheffler has won three of the four Majors in Golf—the Masters Tournament (2022, 2024), the PGA Championship (2025), and The Open Championship (2025)—meaning all he needs for the career grand slam would be to win the U.S. Open, where he finished in second place back in 2022.​

Scheffler failed to win the U.S. Open earlier this Summer, as Wyndham Clark won the tournament at Shinnecock Hills after Rory McIlroy repeated at the Masters Tournament in beautiful Augusta, Georgia, while Aaron Rai won the PGA Championship at Aronimick Golf Club in Pennsylvania.

In the ‘Will Scottie Scheffler Win the Grand Slam Before 2028?’ market, which had over $528,801 in trading volume at Kalshi on July 12, Scheffler (‘Yes’) was being given just a 6% chance of completing the career slam by the end of 2027 after failing at the US Open again in June.

➤Trading Thoughts: We won’t see much more volume here, as this market is essentially the exact same market we’ll see for the 2027 US Open Winner. If you're a long-term futures bettor, compare this market with that one when it opens. Scottie has to win now, or the ‘No’ contracts are smart money.

Scheffler ‘Yes’ peaked at 55.6% on September 25, 2025, but his chances of a career grand slam in the minds of Kalshi traders soon plummeted. The last tournament Scheffler won was The American Express at the Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California on January 25, 2026.

But tying up $96.27 to try to win just $3.73 over an 18-month period just doesn’t seem like a good use of one’s Time or Money as I sit in the $5 plastic chair that I have written from for over 20 years.

⛳Will Scottie Scheffler Win the (Career) Grand Slam Before 2028? No 95¢

Click here to trade on 'Will Scottie Scheffler Win the Grand Slam Before 2028?' at Kalshi

The final major of the 2026 PGA Tour is the 2026 Open Championship, contested at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, Merseyside, England. It tees off on Thursday, July 16, with a field of 153 players hitting very small balls into very small holes in the 154th edition of the tournament.

Besides The Open Championship Winner (outright) at Robinhood Predictions, the exchange is also serving up a dirty dozen fun props for the tournament for Golf traders to get involved with if they wish. Here are the links:​

🏌️The Open: Last-Chance Qualifier Winner

🏌️The Open Championship: To Make the Cut

🏌️The Open Championship: Playoff

🏌️The Open Championship End of Round 1 Leader

🏌️The Open Championship End of Round 2 Leader

🏌️The Open Championship End of Round 3 Leader

🏌️The Open Championship: Round 1 Top 5 Finishers

🏌️The Open Championship: Round 1 Top 10 Finishers

🏌️The Open Championship: Top 5 Finishers

🏌️The Open Championship: Top 10 Finishers

🏌️The Open Championship: Top 20 Finishers

🏌️The Open Championship: Hole-in-One

One thing very noticeable when looking at the early favorites and the accompanying charts on prediction markets for all minor and major Golf tournaments is that, unlike other markets where favorites change little and it seems only three or four may win, Golf is like pachinko.

And unlike, say, Spotify markets, movie markets, major sports league Futures markets, and most others, Golf winners markets are like a rollercoaster ride with leaders often changing after every round, and even the play on one hole by one golfer drastically changing the betting landscape.

In short, the names and pretty colored lines we often see in the Golf winners charts don’t win the tournament in the end, with the rare exception of a guy like McIlroy repeating at Augusta, but the Irishman still had to fight in the final two rounds to win the green jacket again and reward backers.

For example, here at The Open Championship before tee-off at the Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Jolly Old England on Thursday, the usual suspects Scottie Scheffler (11¢), Rory McIlroy (11¢), Matt Fitzpatrick (4.9¢), and Tommy Fleetwood (4.9¢) make up the charts at the various PMs.

Players being given less than a 4% chance of winning this last major of the 2026 include Jon Rahm (3.5¢), Wyndham Clark (3.5¢), Collin Morikawa (3.0¢), Chris Gotterup (3.0¢), Ludvig Åberg (2.9¢), Cameron Young (2.8¢), Viktor Hovland (2.6¢), and Xander Schauffele (2.8¢).

Following in trading order were Justin Rose (3.0¢), Tyrrell Hatton (3.0¢) , Sam Burns (3.0¢), Robert MacIntyre (3.0¢), Bryson DeChambeau (1.8¢), Joaquin Niemann (1.6¢), Patrick Reed (1.5¢), Russell Henley (1.5¢), Shane Lowry (1.5¢), Tom Kim (1.4¢), and Aaron Rai (1.3¢).​

Alex Fitzpatrick (1.3¢), Jordan Spieth (1.3¢), Justin Thomas (1.3¢), Brooks Koepka (1.2¢), Si Woo Kim (1.2¢), Patrick Cantlay (1.1¢), and Akshay Bhatia (1.0¢) followed as the big longshots, but in this field, they are all players who could surprise and end up winning The Open Championship this week.

➤Trading Thoughts: We gave you a winner here at The Prediction Report in our last Golf futures pick here—Chris Gotterup—in the John Deere Classic, so we will stick with our guy Wyndham Clark, Gotterup, and Tommy Fleetwood, who are all in good form and priced for a potential smile.

⛳2026 The Open Championship Winner Picks: Tommy Fleetwood 4.5¢, Chris Gotterup ​2.9¢, Wyndham Clark 3.5¢

Click here to trade on The Open Championship Winner at Robinhood

 ➠ In the next issue of The Prediction Report, we’ll look at the Final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, handicap the Outstanding Variety Series Emmy Winner market, give a 2026 NCAA Football National Champion update, and dish up auto Racing previews for the NASCAR Window World 450 and the F1 Moët & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix.