It’s Strawberries and Cream Time Across the Pond
The All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in Wimbledon, London, England, is the site of the third major of the Tennis calendar year, the Wimbledon Championships, which began play on Monday (June 29) and will continue through the Gentlemen’s Singles Final on Sunday, July 12.
In the first two majors of 2026, the Australian Open and the French Open, we saw four different winners: Carlos Alcaraz and Elena Rybakina won Down Under, and Alexander Zverev and Mirra Andreeva surprised on the red clay of Roland Garros in Paris last month.
The top-ranked Men’s Singles (Jannik Sinner) and Women’s Singles (Aryna Sabalenka) players in the world have yet to reach the Finals of a Grand Slam event this year, nor have major players like Ben Shelton or Iga Świątek, who will get their chance in England as Summer is now underway.
Another familiar name we will see playing on the well-manicured 100% perennial ryegrass of the All England Club at Wimbledon will be 44-year-old American legend Serena Williams, returning to the tour and tuning up for the tournament at the Queen's Club in London on June 9, 2026.
Los Angeles native Williams has won the Wimbledon Women’s Singles title seven times (2002, 2003, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2015, 2016). WTA legend Martina Navratilova holds the record here with nine Singles crowns, followed by Helen Wills-Moody (8), Steffi Graf (7), and Williams.
The weather is expected to be temperate for the fortnight (14 days) in Wimbledon, eight miles southwest of Greater London. Last year, we saw Italy’s Jannik Sinner and Poland’s Iga Świątek both win their first singles championships on the renowned green ryegrass of Wimbledon.
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Wimbledon Men’s, Women’s Singles Previews, Picks
The first two majors of the Tennis season have seen some real surprises, but traders in the Gentlemen’s and Women’s Singles tournaments for the now underway Wimbledon Championships are buying ‘Yes’ contracts on exactly the players who you would think they would.
In the Men’s bracket—which was drawn on Friday at the All England Club in London, where the 128-player fields were finalized—world #1 Jannik Sinner (59%) was the overwhelming choice among traders at the popular sports prediction market to be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner.
Following were Serb veteran Novak Djokovic (10%)—a six-time Wimbledon winner—German Alexander Zverev (7%), Americans Ben Shelton (4%), Taylor Fritz (3%), and Frances Tiafoe (3%), and Russian Daniil Medvedev (2%). Polymarket had $10 million in this market before the first serve.
In the Women’s bracket, #1-ranked Aryna Sabalenka (21%) is the top choice, followed by Elena Rybakina (12%), French Open winner Mirra Andreeva (9%), Jessica Pegula (7%), Iga Świątek (7%), Coco Gauff (5%), Amanda Anisimova (5%), and Karolína Muchová, Madison Keys, and Linda Noskova, all trading at 4%.
Some familiar names and longshots trading at 3% included Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elina Svitolina, with Naomi Osaka, Marta Kostyuk, and Serena Williams all trading at 2%, with Emma Raducanu, Emma Navarro, Barbora Krejčíková, and Belinda Bencic all sitting with just 1%.
➤Trading Thoughts: With Carlos Alcaraz still out with a serious wrist injury and Djokovic aging (39), the Gentlemen’s bracket just isn’t as sexy as the Women’s is this fortnight, and the trading volume ($18 million to $10 million) shows people love betting on Women’s Tennis.
With Sinner having physical issues in Paris and Zverev (7%) having some (‘Yes’) value, the lean is to the German. But lifetime H2H vs Sinner, Zverev is 4-10, losing the last 9 straight meetings to the big Italian. No. 2-seed Zverev opens play on Tuesday on Court 1 vs Belgian Alexander Blockx.
Djokovic is 6-5 lifetime vs Sinner and beat him in the 2026 Australian Open Semifinals in January.
Świątek won here last year and is pretty good on grass, but with her monster serve and consistent groundstrokes, the reigning Grass Queen on the tour is Rybakina, and trading at 12¢ (after the draw), will be the woman we run with in Londontown. Maybe the Russians will win both Singles titles at Wimbledon?
🎾Women’s Singles Winner Pick: Elena Rybakina, Yes 12¢
🎾Gentlemen’s Singles Winner Pick: Alexander Zverev, Yes 7.5¢
The 200-to-1 Gold Default Hits July 31st
Imagine an airline sold the same seat to 200 different passengers... and just prayed 199 of them wouldn't show up at the gate.
That is the exact "math glitch" currently sitting at the heart of the global gold market.
According to recent data, there are now 200 paper claims for every 1 physical ounce of gold left in the vaults.
For 55 years, the bankers got away with it…
But on July 31st, a 90-year-old law effectively "calls the bluff."
When those 200 people show up for that 1 seat, the price of the "seat" (physical gold) doesn't just go up—it teleports.
I've identified one company sitting on $431 Billion worth of metal that "fixes" this glitch for investors.
While the stock trades for a fraction of that value today, the July 31st deadline changes everything.
Anthropic Will Be Next Big IPO to Impress
The American Artificial Intelligence (AI) company Anthropic PBC will hold an Initial Public Offering (IPO) later this year after submitting a draft Form S-1 registration statement to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on June 1, 2026.
In a massive Series H funding round, Anthropic raised $65 billion, upping its private valuation to $965 billion and making the futuristic company the largest pure-play AI endeavor in the world. Rival OpenAI is also expected to launch its own IPO on Nasdaq, possibly in early 2027.
SpaceX just raised $85.7 billion with its historic IPO on Nasdaq, and, along with the upcoming Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs, it seems the Future’s here sooner than we thought, with robots delivering pizzas, bots trading in PMs, and Bronny James playing in the NBA with his dad, LeBron.
Anthropic, developer of the large language model (LLM) Claude, was founded in 2021 by former members of OpenAI, including CEO Dario Amodei and President Daniela Amodei. As it’s still a private company, Anthropic doesn’t have a trading symbol yet and is being identified as ANTHZZX.
At Polymarket, the ‘Anthropic IPO by ___?’ market lets traders buy Yes-No contracts for a series of ranges on the calendar for the rest of 2026 on when the company will debut on the Nasdaq.
Only 1% think a (before) July 31, 2026 date is feasible, with the confidence growing by the month as we look to the future: September 15, 2026 (8%), September 30, 2026 (21%), October 31, 2026 (37%), and December 31, 2026 (76%).
Polymarket also offers markets where business traders can speculate on how much money the Anthropic IPO will raise. In the Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets), $600B+ (91%) has the steam with No IPO by December 31, 2027 (8%), and $400-600B (1%) following.
In Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets), $1.8T+ (46%) led the way, followed by $1.5-$1.8T (18%), $1.2-$1.5T (15%), No IPO by December 31, 2027 (11%), $0.9-$1.2T (7%), $0.6-$0.9T (3%), and <$0.6T (2%). If you buy in the ‘No IPO by December 31, 2027’ market, remember you may have to wait a very long time for contract resolution.
What Will Be the Largest IPO by Market Cap in 2026?
It’s hard to see anyone topping the numbers Elon Musk did earlier this month with his massive SpaceX IPO, and traders at Polymarket are sharing that sentiment with SpaceX trading at 87% in the ‘Largest IPO by Market Cap of 2026?’ exchange on June 28.
The aforementioned Anthropic IPO is next in trading at 13.6%, followed by rival OpenAI (<1%), and the free instant messaging and VoIP social platform, Discord, at <1%. Projected dates for a potential Discord IPO are further upstream, as the Kalshi market reveals on its debut.
OpenAI (‘Yes’) was trading so low for four main reasons: the sizes of SpaceX's and Anthropic's market caps; their own numbers combined with projections from analysts and financial experts; and the company will likely launch its IPO in 2027, not 2026, making a ‘Yes’ impossible.
Surpassing the $85.7 billion in market cap raised by SpaceX (SPCX) in its debut on June 12 seems impossible, although if anyone can give the rocket company a run for its IPO money, it’s Anthropic. But surpassing the largest IPO in history from the planet’s only trillionaire seems a bit daunting.
➤Potential 2027 IPOs: Boutiqaat, Hindustan Coca-Cola Holdings (HCCH), Canva, Databricks, Quantum-Systems, Destinus, ByteDance, SHEIN, Revolut, Waymo, Kraken, Stripe, Perplexity AI.
Will Banksy Create a Mural before Dec 31, 2026?
Polymarket has stepped up its game in the Art corner of the prediction markets landscape, creating a number of new polymarkets, including ‘Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?’ and ‘Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?’ (19%, June 28).
Also available is the fun ‘Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?’ where trading (‘Yes’) opened at around 80% and has remained firmly in the 80% to 87% range since opening on June 1, before reaching 92% on June 28.
A satirical and quirky England-based street artist, Banksy has been active in the contemporary Art scene since 1990, and his identity has never been publicly confirmed by him, although it seems the Twitterverse and social media sleuths recently found out who he was. Our lips are sealed.
Since the early 2000s, Banksy has never gone a full calendar year without providing a surprise piece of modern graffiti with works in New York City, the United Kingdom, and the Gaza Strip.
Buying ‘No’ simply for the price seems an exercise in financial futility, with contracts currently trading at $0.10, or an implied probability of just 10% according to the wisdom of the collective masses at Polymarket in this new category.
The last piece of street art from Banksy appeared in late April this year, when a statue of a man walking off a plinth (below) appeared overnight at Waterloo Place in central London, close to statues of Florence Nightingale, Edward VII, and the Crimean War Memorial. Banksy confirmed it was him.
Who Will Be Taylor Swift’s Bridesmaids?
We are not invited, but at Polymarket, you can trade in a rare Futures Culture market where there will be more than one winner, with the new ‘Who will Taylor Swift’s Bridesmaids be?’ market.
Three potential Swift friends have clocked in at 50% or more (‘Yes’) buying with Abigail Anderson (87%), Ashley Avignone (84%), and Selena Gomez (78%), all looking like they will be prominently featured in the Summer’s biggest and most secret wedding.
Trading at 50% or less on June 28 were Este Haim (50%), Gigi Hadid (46%), Blake Lively (40%), Zoë Kravitz (13%), Cara Delevingne (12%), Sabrina Carpenter (9%), and Brittany Mahomes (8%), all getting little ‘Yes’ love from traders at Polymarket.
Where will it be? Traders at the exchange think it will be the Big Apple, with New York City getting 67% of the ‘Yes’ contracts in the ‘Will Taylor Swift get Married in Manhattan?’ market. Manhattan is one of NYC’s five boroughs and the headquarters of both industry giants Polymarket and Kalshi.
🕊️Trading Picks: Abigail Anderson, Yes 92¢, Ashley Avignone, Yes 95¢
MLB Futures: NL Division Winners Update
We looked at updated American League (AL) divisional winner numbers here at TPR, now let’s look at the three divisions in the Senior Circuit, the National League (NL), where, unlike the AL (3), we find seven teams with positive Run Differentials (RD) north of the dead-even mark (0).
In the NL East Division Winner, MLB traders at Robinhood Predictions are buying Atlanta Braves ‘Yes’ contracts (76¢) with Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies (22¢), Washington Nationals (2¢), Miami Marlins (1¢), and the NY Mets (1¢), following in what is essentially a two-team race.
The trading spreads are similar in the NL Central Division Winner, at Robinhood, where the defending champs, Milwaukee Brewers (77¢), created some distance between themselves and the Chicago Cubs (14¢), Pittsburgh Pirates (5¢), St. Louis Cardinals (4¢), and the Cincinnati Reds (1¢).
And over the NL West Division Winner at Robinhood Predictions, the defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers (95¢) led the San Diego Padres (5¢), the Arizona Diamondbacks (2¢), and the Colorado Rockies (1¢), in a one-sided market with LA now leading the West by 9 games (June 21).
➤Trading Thoughts: The Braves have been incredibly consistent this 2026 MLB Regular Season, and on June 21, had the best record in the Bigs (48-27) and were 10 games over .500 at both Home (24-13) and on the Road (24-14), also ranking #4 in Slugging Percentage (.422).
With young P Jacob Misiorowski shining and the rest of the division not trustworthy, expect the Brewers to repeat in the NL Central, and they are still a buy. Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers have too much pitching depth to lose, and now, almost 10 games up, can coast until the MLB Postseason.
⚾NL Central Winner Pick: Milwaukee Brewers, 75¢
World Cup Knockout Stage Wrap: Tuesday, June 30
Guillermo Ochoa and tournament co-hosts Mexico (3-3-3, 6 GF-0 GA) are in action on Tuesday, with the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group A winners having defeated South Africa, South Korea, and Czechia, and El Tri facing the 3rd-place team from Group E, Ecuador (1-1-1, 2 GF-2 GA).
The runners-up from Groups E (Ivory Coast) and I (Norway) meet in the first match from AT&T Stadium in Arlington (FOX, 1 ET/10 PT), followed by the winner of Group I, France, getting Sweden, the 3rd place team from Group F, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ (FOX, 5 ET/2 PT).
Soccer traders at Kalshi like Mexico (61%) over Ecuador (39%) in the To Advance market for this nightcap at Estadio Banorte (Estadio Azteca) in Mexico City (FOX, 9 ET/6 PT). France (87%) is a heavy favorite over fellow UEFA side Sweden (13%) at Kalshi.
➤Trading Thoughts: Les Bleus and GK Mike Maignan have only lost one match—a friendly vs. the Ivory Coast this month—over the last two calendar years, and this is an ideal spot to play France in a number of different markets, including the Alternate line, as it should win by 3 or 4 goals here.
Norway’s Ørjan Nyland (1%) should help his side advance in what may need more than 90 minutes to decide who moves on to the Round of 16. Ecuador will likely slow the game down against Mexico, and we may see a 0-0 scoreline for a very long time in Mexico City, where the atmosphere will be electric.
⚽Tuesday World Cup 2-Side Parlay Pick: Norway—France
World Cup Knockout Stage Wrap: Wednesday, July 1
The USMNT will be in action in the Stars and Stripes as Christian Pulisic and the United States face the 3rd-place team from Group B, Bosnia Herzegovina, at Levi’s Stadium (Bermuda Grass) in Santa Clara (FOX, 8 ET/5 PT) in the day’s third of three World Cup Knockout Stage games.
In the day's first match, Group L winners England kick things off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta (FOX, 12 ET/9 PT), where Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and the Three Lions will battle Yoane Wissa and Congo DR, the 3rd-place team from Group K, to see who moves on to the R16.
Group G winners Belgium play Senegal, the 3rd-place team from Group I, in an afternoon kick from Lumen Field (FS1, 4 ET/1 PT) in the day’s second match and the 82nd match of the 2026 World Cup. The Round of 16 will start on July 4 with games in Houston and Philadelphia.
➤Trading Thoughts: This will be a fun and serious day, with three teams moving on to the next round, with England, Kevin De Bruyne, and Belgium, and the USA expecting to take that next big step. Expect a quicker pace with more deliberate possessions now in the do-or-die KO Stage.
None of these three matches will be easy for the favorites and the two African (CAF) cats—the Lions de la Téranga and the Léopards—and the big underdog UEFA team (Bosnia Herzegovina) playing on its opponents’ home soil (USA), can win these games.
It would be patriotic to suggest a red, white, and blue combo of England and the United States, with the Fourth of July coming later this summer. But the current fervor for the Three Lions (87%) and USMNT (83%) doesn’t match the prices and probability, so just watching seems like the day’s best bet.
⚽Wednesday World Cup 2-Side Parlay Pick: None
Dodgers in Sacramento on Wednesday Night
The world champion Los Angeles Dodgers (53-30, 27-16 Road) are in West Sacramento and Sutter Health Park (Grass) to face the upstart A’s (40-43, 18-23 at Home) in a midweek Interleague game on Wednesday (MLB.TV, NBC Sports California, Fubo, Sportsnet Los Angeles, 9:40 ET/6:40 PT).
The scheduled starting Pitchers for Game 3 of a 3-game series are RHP Shohei Ohtani (7-2, 1.47 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) for Los Doyers and RHP JT Ginn (5-4, 3.16 ERA, 1.21 WHIP). The A’s have been playing in Sactown the last two seasons as the franchise prepares for its move to Las Vegas.
At Kalshi in the AL Champion market, the A’s (‘Yes’) were priced at 3% (Yes 3¢, No 98¢) while over in the NL Champion market, the Dodgers were still the heavy favorites and trading at 38% to repeat as Senior Circuit pennant winners. The Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 vs the Athletics.
➤Trading Thoughts: Shohei is doing Sacramento for the first time, no matter what AI is telling me, as the Modern Machine has no sense of the Past-Present-Future. “Shohei Ohtani has indeed pitched in Sacramento. He made his first appearance on July 1, 2026...” Blah, blah, blah. I will use my brain, Hal.
Games at Sutter Park in West Sacramento are usually high-scoring, so even with Ohtani on the bump, in seven games vs the Pirates and Angels (16-7-23-5-16-11-13 runs), there were five double-digit games in games averaging 13.0 RPG. How there were two Shutouts, only God knows.
The big question will be, can Kurtz, Soderstrom, Langeliers, and the A’s hit Ohtani? A’s starter Ginn was drafted by LA and was solid in his last five starts (3-1, 2.77 ERA) and no-hit the Dodgers through 8 innings on May 18 before Frazier singled in the 9th, and Neto homered to hand the A’s a 2-1 loss.
⚾➤Wednesday MLB Trading Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
World Cup Knockout Stage Wrap: Thursday, July 2
On Thursday, Lamine Yamal, Pedri, and Group H winners Spain open its 2026 FIFA World Cup Knockout Stage (Round of 32) action at SoFi Stadium (Matrix Turf) in Inglewood, California (FOX, 3 ET/12 PT) against the 2nd-place team from Group J, Austria, which needed a last-second goal.
In the afternoon, the 2nd-place teams from Group K (Portugal) and Group L (Croatia) collide at BMO Field (Hybrid Grass) in Toronto, Canada (FOX, 4 ET/1 PT) in World Cup Match 84, where 40-year-old Luka Modrić and 41-year-old Cristiano Ronaldo will look to lead their teams forward.
The winner of Group B, Switzerland, plays the 3rd place team from Group J, Algeria, at BC Place (FieldTurf) in Vancouver (FS1, 11 ET/8 PT). The Fennecs are one of nine proud teams from Africa (CAF) who made it to the Round of 32 (ALG, CPV, COD, EGY, GHA, CIV, MAR, SEN, RSA).
➤Trading Thoughts: The teams from Africa should walk proud heading into the Knockout Stage, but all nine could get knocked out quickly, and it’s important to remember that no team from the Dark Continent has ever hoisted the World Cup. Only Europe (12) and South America (10) have.
Spain may play scared against Austria, who are lucky to have made it to the KO Stage, but expect Yamal & Company to advance; it may take more time than the Spaniards want. Iberian Peninsula brothers Portugal also face a feisty foe, but should prevail and advance to the R16.
The Switzerland-Algeria game is where the best trading may be. The Swiss went 2-1-0 (7 GF-3 GA) in the GS, never trailing in the three games, with all 3 goals scored against them coming after the 76-minute mark. Algeria (1-1-1, 5 GF-7 GA) gave up the first goal in all three of its matches.
⚽Thursday World Cup Match Pick: Switzerland
World Cup Knockout Stage Wrap: Friday, July 3
The Knockout Stage of the World Cup will jettison three more teams on Friday, including the loser of the game between Group D’s 2nd-place side, Australia, and Group G’s 2nd-place finisher, Egypt, from AT&T Stadium (Hellas Matrix Turf with Helix Soft Top) in Arlington, Texas (FOX, 2 ET/11 PT).
Lionel Messi and Group J winners Argentina will face Vozinha and the surprise 2nd place team from Group H, Cape Verde, at Hard Rock Stadium (Tifway 419 Bermuda Grass) in Miami Gardens, Florida (FOX, 6 ET/3 PT) in the second fixture of the day and 86th game in the tourney.
And the nightcap will see James Rodríguez and Group K winner Colombia, colliding with the 3rd place team from Group L, Ghana, from the FIFA-named Kansas City Stadium (GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, NorthBridge Bermudagrass) in Kansas City, Missouri (FOX, 8:30 ET/6:30 PT).
➤Trading Thoughts: Argentina is the champion and is still in champion form, losing just once in the last two years. La Selección and GK Emiliano Martínez have allowed just 2 goals this year, and have outscored opponents 32-3 with 5 Shutouts in their last 6 games. Nothing big.
Could all three African teams get the boot on Friday? Yes, if Australia keeps getting lucky, but Mo Salah and the Pharaohs—Africa’s oldest team—are the better side, and are ranked #26 with the Socceroos at #28 in the latest FIFA rankings. This one seems like a toss-up and a stay-away.
Colombia (2-1-0, 4 GF-1 GA) has allowed just one goal and got here on a late header vs Portugal on Saturday. Ghana (1-1-1, 2 GF-2 GA) has scored just twice, with none in the back of the net before the 73-minute mark. La Tricolor should advance to the Round of 16, where Switzerland may await.
⚽Friday World Cup Side Picks: Argentina -2, Colombia
➠ In the next issue of The Prediction Report, we’ll look at the Republican and Democratic Presidential Nominees for 2028, Meta’s prediction market app, the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, and we will have previews and picks for the NASCAR race in Chicago and the F1 race in Great Britain as well as FIFA World Cup Knockout Stage wraps for Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.